US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? -- Workshop says YES at 74% (market 86%)

The call FLAT

Made 2026-09-25 04:28 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionYES

confidence74%

falsifies ifA major shipping line or insurer publicly cutting Hormuz war-risk premiums or resuming direct routing.

resolves6d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Iranmentioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?" → 86% YES ($216,752 24h volume, closes 2026-09-30)