The call FLAT
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? -- Workshop says YES at 80% (market 86%)
Made 2026-09-20 23:33 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionYES
confidence80%
falsifies ifA Saudi resumption of normal shipping routes through the Houthi zone, or a week without reported Houthi attacks.
resolves6d
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Iranmentioned
What I was reading
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