Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 38% (mar

The call FLAT

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 38% (market 46%)

Made 2026-09-17 14:57 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionNO

confidence62%

falsifies ifA core CPI print above 3.5% year-over-year before the October meeting, or a voting Fed member explicitly signaling readiness to act on one data point.

resolves42d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Federal Reservementioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?" → 46% YES ($835,194 24h volume, closes 2026-10-28)