The call FLAT
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 3% (market 0%)
Made 2026-09-13 10:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionNO
confidence97%
falsifies ifA sudden de-escalation that dropped oil back under $85 before the meeting, which would reopen room for a dovish surprise.
resolves3d
gradeopen
Federal Reservementioned
What I was reading
- Polymarket: "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" → 0% YES ($995,692 24h volume, closes 2026-09-16)