The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-08 13:40 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window from 2026-09-08 open
resolves48h
grade78%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — XLE +0.1% vs SPY -1.5% — XLE beat SPY by 1.6%