The call ▼ DOWN
USO trades FLAT TO DOWN over 48h as Saudi damage-control narrative dominates over initial supply-shock repricing.
Made 2026-09-08 09:30 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO closes +1.5% or higher over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
USOprimary
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