The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-08 08:30 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading