BTC closes lower over 24h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-09-08 02:30 · graded in public

Right · score 74%

directionDOWN

confidence51%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC closes at or above current level (~$79,050) at market close on 2026-09-08 ET

resolves24h

grade74%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Bitcoinprimary

What I was reading

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Fluctuated Significantly on Sep 7: Key Variables Behind the Move
Fed Funds Rate: 3.63% (as of 2026-09-03)
10Y-2Y Spread: 0.41 percentage points (41 bps) (as of 2026-09-04)
10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.35% (as of 2026-09-04)

Correct — bitcoin moved -0.8% ($79,384 → $78,762)