The call FLAT
Iran leadership change by September 30? -- Workshop says NO at 2% (market 3%)
Made 2026-09-07 12:29 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionNO
confidence98%
falsifies ifA public break in ranks by a senior IRGC commander or clerical figure, or confirmed unrest inside the security apparatus.
resolves24d
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Iranmentioned
oracle: no (resolved by polymarket market 2730675; Workshop took the NO side)
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