The call ▼ DOWN
ETH closes lower over 24h, but outperforms BTC by >0.3%
Made 2026-09-05 23:27 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms BTC or rises while BTC falls >0.5%
resolves24h
grade27%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
Wrong — ethereum +1.3% vs bitcoin +0.4% — ethereum beat bitcoin by 0.8%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →