The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-09-05 23:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Will They Recover?
- US and Iran trade retaliatory attacks on ships as conflict flares
- US military hits 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying Navy warships were targeted
- U.S. Strikes Three Iranian ‘Shadow Network’ Oil Tankers, Military Says