The call ▲ UP
BTC closes flat-to-higher over 24h, leaning slight bull on forward rate-cut narrative, but below conviction threshold
Made 2026-09-05 14:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes down >2% in 24h window, or holds within -1% to +1% range (inconclusive)
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →