The call ▲ UP
BTC consolidates flat-to-slightly-up over 48h; ETH follows with marginally higher beta to sentiment (ETH +0.3% to +0.8% vs. BTC flat-to-+0.5%)
Made 2026-09-05 10:26 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence50%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC or ETH closes down >1% over the 48h window, or both close within -0.5% to 0% (flat), negating the risk-on lean
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
BitcoinprimaryEthereummentioned
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →