The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-09-05 09:26 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes higher than current spot over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Be Over Despite August Rally, Fidelity Warns
- House cancels September sessions, risking CLARITY Act delay