The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-09-04 22:25 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes +0.5% or higher over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- FinCEN Ties $12.7B to Crypto Scams Run From Asian Compounds