The call ▲ UP
SMH closes higher over 24h
Made 2026-09-04 11:10 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
directionUP
confidence52%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMH flat or down relative to market open; confirmation would require >+0.5% outperformance of SPY same-day
resolves24h
grade83%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SMHprimary
Correct — SMH moved +2.6% ($553 → $567)
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