The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 24h
Made 2026-09-04 10:10 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade25%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- CFTC Moves to Kill CME Lawsuit Over Kalshi’s Bitcoin Perpetual Futures
Wrong — bitcoin moved -1.7% ($80,986 → $79,613)