The call FLAT
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h as TSLA-driven concentration unwinds and mega-cap tech breadth fails to sustain early rally
Made 2026-09-03 23:53 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction
confidence51%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY by +0.5% or more, suggesting TSLA momentum persists into broader tech rally
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading