The call FLAT
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h as TSLA-driven concentration unwinds and mega-cap tech breadth fails to sustain early rally
Made 2026-09-03 23:53 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence51%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY by +0.5% or more, suggesting TSLA momentum persists into broader tech rally
resolves24h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- QQQ: $717.67 (+1.19%) range $709.69-$718.91 — up
- TSLA: $376.37 (+5.42%) range $365.82-$384.04 — up