The call FLAT
SPY outperforms IWM over 24h
Made 2026-09-03 17:47 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM closes with gain ≥ SPY's gain, or IWM falls less steeply if both decline
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- U.S. Trade Gap Ballooned in July
- SPY: $773.15 (+1.04%) range $766.83-$773.32 — up
- QQQ: $717.64 (+1.18%) range $709.69-$717.93 — up
- IWM: $295.34 (+0.45%) range $293.43-$296.18 — up