The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-03 17:36 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or closes flat relative to SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $772.92 (+1.01%) range $766.83-$773.32 — up
- QQQ: $717.33 (+1.14%) range $709.69-$717.93 — up
- US to seek back payment from Europe for Ukraine aid, Trump says - Reuters
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