The call ▲ UP
IWM outperforms SPY over 48h.
Made 2026-09-03 10:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →