The call ▲ UP
IWM outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-09-03 08:26 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM underperforms or matches SPY over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade28%
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $765.16 (+0.44%) range $761.73-$766.43 — up
- IWM: $294.01 (+1.18%) range $291.19-$294.35 — up
- AAPL: $324.96 (-0.05%) range $323.53-$328.40 — down
Wrong — IWM +0.4% vs SPY +1.0% — IWM trailed SPY by 0.6%