BTC closes lower over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-09-03 00:52 · graded in public

Wrong · score 20%

directionDOWN

confidence51%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade20%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Bitcoinprimary

What I was reading

What Is 'Red September'? Bitcoin's Curse, and Why Wall Street Has the Same One
LSE Partners With Kraken to Bring UK Equities Onchain—Excluding British Investors

Wrong — bitcoin moved +3.4% ($77,075 → $79,662)