The call ▼ DOWN
TLT underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 23:51 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTLT outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTLTvs
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