The call ▼ DOWN
TLT underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 23:51 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTLT outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryTLTvs
What I was reading
- US launches strikes on Iran following 'attempted attacks in Strait'
- UK long-term borrowing costs highest since 1998 ahead of October Budget