The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 21:47 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade23%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
Wrong — XLE -1.6% vs SPY +0.7% — XLE trailed SPY by 2.3%
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