The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 11:39 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Iran wins SCO backing against US strikes: will it be enough?
- Trump puts pressure on squeezed US oil refiners to ease pump prices