The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 07:39 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms SPY or matches SPY's return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading