The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-01 14:17 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window, or closes below prior session close
resolves48h
grade100%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta’s $60 Billion AI Machine Could Dethrone Google Search by Year-End
Correct — META +7.7% vs SPY +0.7% — META beat SPY by 7.0%