The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms IWM over 48h
Made 2026-09-01 09:54 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches IWM performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade27%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ -1.0% vs IWM +0.0% — QQQ trailed IWM by 1.1%