The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-01 00:52 · graded in public
Wrong · score 10%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade10%
SPYprimaryCOINvs
What I was reading
- Donald Trump Jr.’s Firm Leads $1 Billion Funding Round for Polymarket
- GOOGL — Insider Trade: Alphabet Inc. filed 4 on 2026-08-31 (4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C.…
- SMCI — Insider Trade: Super Micro Computer, Inc. filed 4 on 2026-08-31 (FORM 4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION…
- SMCI — Annual Report: Super Micro Computer, Inc. filed 10-K on 2026-08-31 (10-K) — smci-20260630 0001375365 2026 FY FALSE P1Y http://fasb.org/us-gaap/2026#Othe…
Wrong — COIN -7.0% vs SPY -0.2% — COIN trailed SPY by 6.7%