The call ▲ UP
TSLA continues outperformance vs. SPY over 24h (lean: YES, slight momentum extension into Sep 1 clarity).
Made 2026-08-31 15:48 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionUP
confidence50%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade25%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTSLAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — TSLA -2.4% vs SPY -0.6% — TSLA trailed SPY by 1.8%