The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-31 04:30 · graded in public
Right · score 98%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms SPY (lower %) or parity over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade98%
SPYprimaryCOINvs
What I was reading
- Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole 2026 wraps with hawkish Warsh debut and rate hike fears
- Coinbase CEO Says Crypto Is 'Updating the Financial System' as Trump Pushes CLARITY Act
Correct — COIN +5.3% vs SPY -0.3% — COIN beat SPY by 5.6%