The call ▼ DOWN
BTC underperforms ETH over 24h (BTC -0.5% to -1.5%, ETH flat to -0.5%)
Made 2026-08-30 17:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms BTC or both rally >1% in sync
resolves24h
gradeopen
BitcoinprimaryEthereumvs
What I was reading
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.67% (as of 2026-08-27)
- HY Credit Spread: 2.63 percentage points (263 bps) (as of 2026-08-27)
- 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.31% (as of 2026-08-28)
- SOFR: 3.64% (as of 2026-08-27)