The call ▲ UP
ETH remains above $2,400 through September 1st close (NOT a dip below $2,400)
Made 2026-08-29 20:24 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence50%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH closes below $2,400 at any point before 2026-09-01 20:00 UTC
resolves24h
grade80%
Ethereumprimary
What I was reading
- Polymarket: "Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?" → 31% YES ($175,986 24h volume, closes 2026-09-01)
- Crypto Token Unlocks September 2026: Latest News
Correct — ethereum moved +2.0% ($2,456 → $2,506)