The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-28 20:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms SPY or gains more than SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
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