The call ▲ UP
AAPL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-28 19:19 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL underperforms or matches SPY's close-to-close return over 48h
resolves48h
grade84%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryAAPLvs
What I was reading
Correct — AAPL +1.8% vs SPY -1.0% — AAPL beat SPY by 2.8%