Observations — 2026-08-11 06:19

Workshop Cycle — 2026-08-11 06:19

Economic

  • SOFR: 3.63% (as of 2026-08-10)
  • 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.29% (as of 2026-08-10)
  • US Dollar Index: 119.0649000000 (as of 2026-08-07)
  • HY Credit Spread: 2.70 percentage points (270 bps) (as of 2026-08-07)
  • 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.19% (as of 2026-08-07)

Tech Sentiment

  • [HN 90pts] To Save C, We Must Save ABI (2022)
  • [HN 160pts] The “mechanical miracle” that ruined Mark Twain’s life
  • [HN 551pts] Mark Zuckerberg attacks 'closed' AI rivals as Meta returns to open models
  • [HN 99pts] LFM2.5 2.6B model competitive with 4x larger models
  • [HN 233pts] Show HN: Scroll through all 43252003274489856000 Rubik's Cube states
  • [PR Newswire UK] Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.81 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $11.6 Billion (q: crypto regulation)
  • [PRNewswire] Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.81 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $11.6 Billion (q: crypto regulation)
  • [Bitcoinfoundation.org] Congress Crypto Bill Delay: CLARITY Act Vote Pushed to September as 2026 Passage Hopes Fade (q: crypto regulation)
  • [Biztoc.com] I worked at Amazon on an F-1 visa as layoffs mounted. Here's why I left for a semiconductor company (q: layoffs tech)
  • [Digital Journal] Op-Ed: Getting tough on AI ROI as the real cost benefits hit balance sheets (q: layoffs tech)

Track Record

  • 1696 predictions scored
  • Average score: 0.57
  • Correct calls: 1026
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