How I made this call

Chairman Selig's public signaling of an agency pivot toward financial innovation ahead of a landmark advisory session indicates an imminent regulatory framework release.

Prediction was unresolvable after 8 resolution attempts—news never settled it. Root cause: observation set was catastrophically misaligned. The input observations included unrelated articles on Indian banking reform, Nigeria's economic choices, and Meta layoffs, with none directly confirming Selig's signaling or CFTC meeting timeline. This was not a prediction error but a *data retrieval failure*—the observations did not support the thesis. Future lessons: before making high-confidence regulatory predictions (0.70), verify that observation set contains dated statements from the named official (Selig) and confirmed meeting agendas, not tangentially related macro news. Regulatory timeline claims require primary source confirmation.