COIN outperforms SPY over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-24 11:36 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence53%

reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY over 24h window

resolves24h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryCOINvs

What I was reading

Bitcoin rose 2% on CLARITY progress while Coinbase, Circle jumped over 8% – but why?
Off: Dow Jones falls 500 points after crude rally; Alphabet, Tesla drag Nasdaq