QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-24 04:36 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionDOWN

confidence53%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY price change over 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

Oil prices hit $100 for the first time since May
Iran War Live Updates: Iran Rejected a U.S. Cease-Fire Offer Delivered by Iraq, Officials Say
Trump Administration Imposed New Tariffs of Around 10% on Over 80 Nations