The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 22:36 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump to impose double-digit tariffs on dozens of countries
- Trump Administration to Impose New Tariffs of Around 10% on Over 80 Nations
- Bitcoin consolidates below $66,000 as a 13% July recovery runs out of steam