The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 02:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY total return over 48h window (close-to-close)
resolves48h
gradeopen
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump threatens to target Iran's bridges and power plants if Hormuz attacks persist
- China's Moonshot AI stole from Anthropic, Trump tech adviser says
- House passes Pentagon funding bill and a blueprint to unlock new dollars for Iran war