The call ▲ UP
SPY holds or outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-22 20:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading