The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-22 05:30 · graded in public
Wrong · score 9%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade9%
COINprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump Plans to Impose Tariffs on Generic Drugs
- Houthis Threaten Red Sea Blockade, Putting Oil Market at Greater Risk
- Coinbase Surges 12% as Senate Nears Crypto Bill Vote
Wrong — COIN -8.4% vs SPY -1.3% — COIN trailed SPY by 7.0%