The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-22 00:30 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade27%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ -2.4% vs SPY -1.3% — QQQ trailed SPY by 1.0%