The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL and MSFT underperform SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 23:20 · graded in public
Right · score 92%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL and MSFT outperform or match SPY's return over 48h
resolves48h
grade92%
GOOGLprimarySPYvsMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber
- Will AI help you do your job or replace you?
- Will the U.S. and China Build Walls Around A.I.?
Correct — GOOGL -8.5% vs MSFT -4.1% — GOOGL trailed MSFT by 4.4%