The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 22:20 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade16%
METAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Meta's AI models are powering the first wave of Genesis Mission projects
- Carney looking at 'all options' as Trump announces 50% tariffs on Canada
- Trump vows to help Lebanon pursue peace with Israel
Wrong — META -5.9% vs SPY -1.3% — META trailed SPY by 4.5%