The call ▲ UP
MSFT and GOOGL outperform SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 18:33 · graded in public
Right · score 90%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT and GOOGL underperform or match SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade90%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimarySPYvsGOOGLvs
What I was reading
Correct — MSFT -4.3% vs GOOGL -8.4% — MSFT beat GOOGL by 4.1%