The call FLAT
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 16:33 · graded in public
Wrong · score 9%
direction—
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade9%
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Bitcoin and Risk Assets Under Pressure as 30-Year Yields Push Above 5%
- Will the U.S. and China Build Walls Around A.I.?
- Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber
- Who's afraid of Chinese models?
Wrong — GOOGL -8.6% vs SPY -1.5% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 7.1%