The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY marginally over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 12:32 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over 48h
resolves48h
grade73%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ +1.3% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.6%